The Gymblog remarked on the depth of the Chinese team in the wake of Deng Linlin and He Kexin’s splashes into the Doha World Cup scene. The Chinese Olympic roster is not going to be an easy one to build, certainly.
Now I would like to take note of uneven bars A-scores between the Chinese and the USA.
The Chinese are likely to put up Yang Yilin, Jiang Yuyuan, and…He Kexin. Yes, I know.
CHN A-scores:
He 7.5
Jiang 7.1 (as of Doha)
Yang 7.0 (possible upgrades to 7.0+)
Total: 21.6
USA A-scores: (assuming Shayla is on the team)
Liukin 7.7 (projected)
Johnson 6.2 (at American Cup) 6.3 (in Italy)
Worley 6.7 (at American Cup)
Total: 20.7
Methinks we are kind of outmatched…
Kupets could have done a routine in the high 6’s (sob sob) and I don’t know what Memmel will bring to the table. If Chellsie can get back to delivering a huge uneven bars routine, Shayla’s chances of making it to Beijing would get a lot smaller. Shawn will probably want to upgrade, as well.
There must be some wierd stuff with the Code of Points because Shawn seems to do lots of good tricks and with good form. Liukin is very skilled at milking the code for numeric value rather than “pure” gymnastics ability (she doesn’t even do a double back type skill on floor). I wonder if the ppirouettes or connections or something are over-valued. No way Luikin is 1.5 better than shawn in terms of fundamental gymnastics.
here are my predictions.
team 1. china 2. usa 3. russia
Vault. 1.china- remember that jiang yuyuan is rumoured to be doing an amanar plus cheng fei’s vault and now, even he kexin is said to be also doing an amanar. china will have 3 6.5 A score. (what an improvement with he kexin.last year she was only doing a yurchenko full, at doha world cup she did a DTY and now an amanar!
2. USA- amanar for johnson and im hoping that sacramonie will increase her vault to an amanar and a DTY from peznek.
3. Russia- with an amanar from pavlova and a descent two DTY,they secure the 3rd spot. (there is a rumour going on that lozhecko is trying to do a produnova vault which has a 7.2 A score. wow! but i still have doubts about it. she may be trying it bec. remember lozhecko is a good front tumbler. but i think she can’t do it. but well will see.
UB 1. china- remember he kexin is doing a eoutine with a 7.5 A score. Jiang yuyuan with a 7.2 and yang yilin with a 7.0+ (im expecting that she’s going to increase her A score.
2. USA- liukin doing a 7.7, johnson a 6.3 and worley 6.7(im expecting worley and johnson will increase thier A score.
3. Russia- a potential 7.6 A score from semenova and a two descent routine from kramarenko and afasyaneva.
BB 1. USA- liukin has 6.6, johnson with 6.8 and maybe a score from sacramonie or worley or pezne.
1. CHina- li shanshan 7.4 (may even increase her difficulty) deng linlin 6.8 but a potential of 7.3 and cheng fei’s 6.7. as you can see china has more difficulty than USA but i feel USA is more consistent than china in this event. i still have doubts with cheng fei’s BB routine if she will hit it in beijing. deng linlin even doesnt connects her routin that is why she usually awarse with a 6.8 instead of 7.3. but if they will hit here, they will be untouchable.
3. Russia. a good routine from semenova, lozhecko and afasyaneva
FX 1. USA they have a good routine from sacramonie and johnson and even from memmel or peznek.
1. China- remember that it is confirmed that cheng fei is doing a dos santos move which definitely increase her a score. jiang yuyuan needs to feel more her new FX routine and a descent score from deng linlin or even from li shanshan.
3. Russia- a descent score from pavlova, lozhecko and afasyaneva.
China will definitely win plus it will be in beijing and im hoping that USA will not suffer the same faith russia had at the 96 olympics. . KARMA..yaiks..haha
but ofcourse this is my only opinoin and everyone can disagree.
what do you think?